Figures don’t lie, but how can we can tell the difference?

By David Morgan

Asheville – Ever since the first whisperings of COVID-19, it has felt like we’ve been bombarded with media statistical models, projections wrapped in a general hysteria. A great deal has amounted to inaccurate or mathematically flimsy models. These models tried to portray a scenario where the world would be wiped out unless we all went into super lockdown and avoided everything. And everybody.

Yet, that was a solution doomed to a number of failures. It’s becoming increasingly difficult to ask (or frighten) people into locking themselves down indefinitely.

Gov. Beshear of Kentucky banned people from attending church and told his officers to take license plate numbers of those who did. Gov. Cuomo of New York said that projections showed that at least 13.9% of New Yorkers had COVID-19 late stage antibodies. That would indicate that the city’s population of 19.5 million already has had over 2.5 million New Yorkers exposed and recovered from COVID-19. As of now only 243,000 New Yorkers have confirmed cases, and New York has reported 19,543 fatalities.

However, we have been told that the true death rate is 7.4% in New York, and there would be hundreds of thousands dead. The death rate in New York is actually 3 quarters of a single percent. Currently, in the state of Michigan, residents have been forbidden to buy plants (recently permitted again), paint or flooring of any kind. Also, forbidden are activities like gardening, home improvement, and even traveling to your very own vacation property if it is within the state. You also must have written permission from local law enforcement if you are to walk across the street to your neighbor’s house. Watch out America.

The recently ended flu season numbers from the CDC show possibly 56,000,000 cases of flu, 740,000 hospitalizations, and 62,000 deaths. John Hopkins shows that in this same five-month stretch, COVID-19 has racked up 845,945 confirmed cases, 122,000 hospitalizations, and 46,972 deaths. We didn’t lock down everybody because of the flu of the flu season. We were not ‘accustomed’ nor instructed into thinking that the flu was such a deadly killer of life. There are, moreover, some seemingly effective treatments for COVID-19 that were simply turned into political football contests.

Dr. Vladimir Zelenko has pointed out that, when used under a physician’s care and early on after the onset of symptoms, a hydroxycholoroquine, azithromycin and zinc cocktail greatly reduced the rates of deaths and long term infectious stages. He has treated 1,450 patients with just two deaths, four ventilator cases (all fully recovered) and all others recovered. These are verifiable, not logarithmic projections.

The lockdown mentality not only has slammed millions of Americans with harsh economic realities, it has caused us to fail on one other key component of recovery from this virus – herd immunity. If 2.5 million New Yorkers were able to deal with it without any treatment at all, some even asymptomatic. How much did we impede on our natural immune responses by isolating ourselves?

These are some factual realities that the politicians and media seem to simply avoid and bury. There is a growing trend where people who come forth with data-backed realities are often relegated to the dustbin of disliked thoughts. They seem to ignore the fact that sustained curtailment of daily movement and liberty has only ever been achieved by the point of a knife or gun. Often the problem is not just the data; it usually isn’t. Where the problem lies is with the data interpretation.

In this day and age data is beyond surplus – at schools, on the computer, at work, and from the media. But really how much attention is given to empowering viewers on interpretting data? We must never forget Thomas Aquinas who taught that “lex injusta non est lex” – “an unjust law is not a law” – and though there are those who think it is a law, it is not morally binding. We must be careful and vigilant in the details when we make new laws and regulations.

If we don’t, we do so at our own peril. Otherwise we may never be able to understand the laws we create. And there is a huge difference between a law that says, “Walk anywhere you want, but keep off the new grass,” and one that says, ”You are permitted only to walk on the public sidewalks.” We are living in a time that needs careful handling of possible draconian policies remaining under the guise of national safety.

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